Jarun 1-2 Hrvace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 2 May 2026

Jarun
1-2 HT 1-2
Hrvace
📅02/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.9pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hrvace EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hrvace
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Jarun Jarun 1-0 HT 0-0 Hrvace Hrvace HIR2
09.09.2025 Hrvace Hrvace 2-1 HT 2-1 Jarun Jarun HIR2
30.08.2025 Hrvace Hrvace 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-2
AWAY Hrvace
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Hrvace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hrvace nicked a narrow win over Jarun 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hrvace as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jarun had 57% of the ball to Hrvace's 43%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jarun and 0.67 for Hrvace.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Hrvace?

Jarun 1-2 Hrvace in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Hrvace?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hrvace win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jarun 35%, draw 24%, Hrvace 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hrvace) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hrvace) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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