Libertad 5-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
50%
+8.5pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -27%
1.14/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.11
-25% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sportivo San Lorenzo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2026 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-7 HT 0-3 Libertad Libertad PAR
21.11.2020 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 2-2 HT 2-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
27.09.2020 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo PAR
25.07.2020 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 1-2 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
30.09.2019 Libertad Libertad 3-0 HT 2-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo PAR
05.12.2015 Libertad Libertad 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
5-0
AWAY Sportivo San Lorenzo
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Sportivo San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad ran out comfortable winners over Sportivo San Lorenzo 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Libertad had 50% of the ball to Sportivo San Lorenzo's 50%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Libertad and 0.67 for Sportivo San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?

Libertad 5-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Libertad 58%, draw 22%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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