Al Fateh 2-2 Neom SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 May 2026

📅02/05/2026 · 🕒18:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Neom SC EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.63/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.95
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
21.0 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Neom SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.46 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
196 Passes 283
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.01.2026 Neom SC Neom SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
2-2
AWAY Neom SC
2.55 xG 1.47
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
320 Passes 285
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Neom SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh and Neom SC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Neom SC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Fateh had 52% of the ball to Neom SC's 48%, shots finished 22-19, expected goals 2.55 to 1.47.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Neom SC?

Al Fateh 2-2 Neom SC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Neom SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neom SC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 29%, draw 26%, Neom SC 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Neom SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neom SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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