Neom SC 0-1 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neom SC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
Crosses 17.3
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neom SC
0-1
AWAY Al Fateh
1.04 xG 0.46
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
283 Passes 196
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neom SC vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh squeezed past Neom SC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Neom SC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Neom SC had 57% of the ball to Al Fateh's 43%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.04 to 0.46 — on chances, Neom SC could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

Neom SC 0-1 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neom SC vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neom SC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Neom SC 49%, draw 26%, Al Fateh 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neom SC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neom SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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