Al Akhdoud 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.18
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
67%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 29% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
11%
+1.5pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
67%
Away Win
71%
-3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 75%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -13%
0.79/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.83
+16% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -1%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 86%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
15.4 Crosses 20.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 1.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
206 Passes 408
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
25.10.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
16.02.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
24.08.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
02.02.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
30.08.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
0-1
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
284 Passes 267
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah edged past Al Akhdoud 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 51% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 49%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Akhdoud had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.00 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Akhdoud 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 13%, draw 21%, Al Ahli Jeddah 67%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
10 Jan 2026
17:00 Neom SC vs Al Fateh Analysis →
18:00 Al Riyadh vs Al Fayha Analysis →