Al Akhdoud 2-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+9.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
51%
Away Win
62%
-11.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 66%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
0.85/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.92
+20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
19.9 Crosses 21.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.35
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
167 Passes 452
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
16.02.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
24.08.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
02.02.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
30.08.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
2-1
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
1.68 xG 1.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 11
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Ahli Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud squeezed past Al Ahli Jeddah 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Jeddah at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 54% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 46%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.68 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Akhdoud had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Akhdoud and 1.00 for Al Ahli Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Al Akhdoud 2-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Ahli Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 26%, draw 23%, Al Ahli Jeddah 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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