Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.06
6+ Goals
12%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.21/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.34
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
23.4 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.40 xG 0.44
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
462 Passes 167
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
37 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
24.08.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
02.02.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD1
30.08.2022 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1-1
AWAY Al Akhdoud
1.25 xG 2.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 17
12 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
433 Passes 166
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 39
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah and Al Akhdoud couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Jeddah at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 66% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 34%, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 1.25 to 2.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Akhdoud led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 2.25 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 51%, draw 25%, Al Akhdoud 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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