Al Kholood 3-3 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
64%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
15%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
12%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.8pp
64%
Away Win
70%
-6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.3pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 75%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.16/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.01
+17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +17%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 86%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
10.0 Crosses 20.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
3-3
AWAY Al Nassr
2.11 xG 3.14
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 13
240 Passes 528
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 36
5 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood and Al Nassr shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Nassr at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Kholood had 33% of the ball to Al Nassr's 67%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 2.11 to 3.14.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Nassr?

Al Kholood 3-3 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 15%, draw 21%, Al Nassr 64%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Nassr), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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