Al-Qadsiah 2-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.81
No
39%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.2 — our 26% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-11.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
51%
+9.5pp
39%
BTTS No
49%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.81/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.66
-25% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
23.5 Crosses 16.2
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Damac FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.77 xG 1.11
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
382 Passes 206
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
23.10.2020 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
2-1
AWAY Damac FC
1.44 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
400 Passes 306
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah edged past Damac FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 55% of the ball to Damac FC's 45%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.44 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al-Qadsiah had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.50 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Damac FC?

Al-Qadsiah 2-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 49%, draw 28%, Damac FC 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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