Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 10 Jan 2026

📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 35% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
0.86/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.24
-36% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
19.9 Crosses 20.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Fayha
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.92 xG 1.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 379
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.02.2025 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
29.09.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
15.03.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
26.09.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Fayha Al Fayha SAKK
22.09.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
1-1
AWAY Al Fayha
1.52 xG 1.23
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
350 Passes 249
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 14
50 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh and Al Fayha shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 59% of the ball to Al Fayha's 41%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.52 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Fayha led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.60 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

Al Riyadh 1-1 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 31%, draw 31%, Al Fayha 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Fayha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✓ Under 2.5
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