Al Fayha 2-0 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 32% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.14/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/0.80
-6% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 82%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
12.8 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Riyadh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 0.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
382 Passes 424
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
26.09.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Fayha Al Fayha SAKK
22.09.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
2-0
AWAY Al Riyadh
3.10 xG 1.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 361
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
36 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha saw off Al Riyadh 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Al Fayha made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Fayha had 47% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 53%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 3.10 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Fayha had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Fayha and 1.00 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh?

Al Fayha 2-0 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 35%, draw 27%, Al Riyadh 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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