Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
29%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.74/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.46
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
17.8 Crosses 11.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Raed
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.69 xG 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
474 Passes 278
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
09.11.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
18.03.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
06.10.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
27.05.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
25.11.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
2-1
AWAY Al Raed
1.39 xG 0.81
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
535 Passes 247
92% Pass Accuracy 77%
52 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh nicked a narrow win over Al Raed 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 64% of the ball to Al Raed's 36%, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 1.39 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 0.67 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Raed?

Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 49%, draw 22%, Al Raed 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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