Al Taawon 1-1 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
20%
3.11
Away
45%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.29
6+ Goals
7%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
20%
Draw
29%
-8.8pp
45%
Away Win
32%
+12.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.56/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.33
+25% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.7 Crosses 17.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 330
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
16.12.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
09.04.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
16.10.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
05.05.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-4 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
04.11.2021 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
1-1
AWAY Al Ettifaq
2.54 xG 1.28
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
285 Passes 436
84% Pass Accuracy 91%
17 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon and Al Ettifaq couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ettifaq at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Taawon had 40% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 60%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.54 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Taawon and 1.00 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Taawon 1-1 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 36%, draw 20%, Al Ettifaq 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ettifaq), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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