Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 35% vs market 33.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-13.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.16/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.99
+45% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
23.4 Crosses 9.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
31.05.2023 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-0 HT 2-0 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-1
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.87 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
295 Passes 289
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long edged past Hebei Kungfu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 50% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 50%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.85.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hebei Kungfu?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 43%, draw 28%, Hebei Kungfu 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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