Jiangxi Beidamen 2-5 Guangzhou Evergrande — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande EU Bookmakers 51%
-17% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.75/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.44
+6% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
12.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
12.6 Crosses 20.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Guangzhou Evergrande
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.22 xG 1.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
168 Passes 271
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.10.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 2-3 HT 1-1 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande ÇİN2
28.06.2023 Guangzhou Evergrande Guangzhou Evergrande 2-1 HT 0-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Jiangxi Beidamen vs Guangzhou Evergrande
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangzhou Evergrande swept aside Jiangxi Beidamen 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guangzhou Evergrande as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guangzhou Evergrande led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jiangxi Beidamen and 2.50 for Guangzhou Evergrande.

What was the final score of Jiangxi Beidamen vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Jiangxi Beidamen 2-5 Guangzhou Evergrande in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jiangxi Beidamen vs Guangzhou Evergrande?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangzhou Evergrande win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jiangxi Beidamen 23%, draw 28%, Guangzhou Evergrande 49%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guangzhou Evergrande) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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