Örgryte 3-0 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 2 Jun 2024

Örgryte
3-0 HT 2-0
Gefle
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örgryte vs Gefle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
12%
4.34
X/2
13%
7.88
X/X
9%
5.71
2/1
12%
21.45
2/2
12%
5.49
2/X
5%
14.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 11% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örgryte v Gefle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.68/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.54
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Örgryte vs Gefle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Gefle
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2023 Gefle Gefle 0-1 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
27.05.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 3-1 HT 2-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
04.09.2018 Gefle Gefle 0-1 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
11.05.2018 Örgryte Örgryte 3-1 HT 1-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
16.10.2017 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 1-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
04.06.2017 Gefle Gefle 0-1 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte swept aside Gefle 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Örgryte made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örgryte had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Örgryte and 0.50 for Gefle.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Gefle?

Örgryte 3-0 Gefle in the Sweden - Superettan on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 41%, draw 23%, Gefle 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örgryte), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Örgryte) ✓ Over 2.5
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