Varbergs 2-2 Skövde AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 2 Jun 2024

Varbergs
2-2 HT 0-2
Skövde AIK
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Varbergs vs Skövde AIK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.48
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
14%
4.3
X/2
11%
7.99
X/X
9%
5.0
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
10%
5.89
2/X EV+ ✓
10%
14.3
Value flag · 2/X at 14.3 — our 10% vs market 4.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varbergs v Skövde AIK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 28%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -25%
0.50/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.83
-69% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Skövde AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs and Skövde AIK shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Varbergs at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Skövde AIK?

Varbergs 2-2 Skövde AIK in the Sweden - Superettan on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Skövde AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 47%, draw 27%, Skövde AIK 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varbergs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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