Arlanda 4-4 Farsta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
65%
-0.7pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arlanda EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsta EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.61/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.02
-29% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
467 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arlanda
4-4
AWAY Farsta
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arlanda vs Farsta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda and Farsta couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arlanda at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Arlanda had 55% of the ball to Farsta's 45%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Arlanda vs Farsta?

Arlanda 4-4 Farsta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arlanda vs Farsta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Arlanda 65%, draw 16%, Farsta 19%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arlanda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arlanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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