Umea FC Akademi 2-3 Bodens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
45%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-13.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodens BK EU Bookmakers 62%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.35/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.06
+5% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC Akademi
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Bodens BK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
13.08.2022 Bodens BK Bodens BK 6-0 HT 4-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
23.04.2022 Umea FC Akademi 0-3 HT 0-1 Bodens BK Bodens BK İSÇ4
29.06.2021 Umea FC Akademi 1-0 HT 1-0 Bodens BK Bodens BK İSÇ4
18.06.2021 Bodens BK Bodens BK 4-1 HT 2-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Umea FC Akademi vs Bodens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodens BK nicked a narrow win over Umea FC Akademi 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bodens BK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bodens BK led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Umea FC Akademi and 3.25 for Bodens BK.

What was the final score of Umea FC Akademi vs Bodens BK?

Umea FC Akademi 2-3 Bodens BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC Akademi vs Bodens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Umea FC Akademi 27%, draw 28%, Bodens BK 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodens BK) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodens BK) ✗ Under 2.5
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