02/06/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Frösö vs Lucksta Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
25%
Draw
22%
28%
Away Win
29%
50%
Under 2.5
40%
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
40%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Frösö v Lucksta — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Frösö
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Lucksta
EU Bookmakers 32%
+36% /
+36%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-46% /
-46%
2.37/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/4.00
+22%
/
+33%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-54%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
15
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
6
348 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
247 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Frösö vs Lucksta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Frösö swept aside Lucksta 6-2. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Frösö as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Frösö vs Lucksta?
Frösö 6-2 Lucksta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Frösö vs Lucksta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Frösö win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Frösö 47%, draw 25%, Lucksta 28%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frösö), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Frösö)
✓ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
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