Ceuta 2-2 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.4
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 31%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.22/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.17
-10% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta and Gimnastic Tarragona couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ceuta at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Ceuta 2-2 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 45%, draw 26%, Gimnastic Tarragona 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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