CD Castellon 2-4 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
50%
-12.8pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.43/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.39
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
319 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2024 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
11.06.2023 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-3 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
04.06.2023 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna got the better of CD Castellon 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Deportivo La Coruna made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Castellon and 2.00 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Deportivo La Coruna?

CD Castellon 2-4 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 37%, draw 32%, Deportivo La Coruna 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Castellon), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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