Brisbane Roar II 1-3 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
58%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
16%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.9pp
17%
Draw
22%
-4.6pp
58%
Away Win
52%
+6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-13.2pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 56%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.91/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.35/1.32
-33% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.03.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior saw off Brisbane Roar II 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Brisbane Roar II 1-3 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 25%, draw 17%, Moreton City Excelsior 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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