Moreton City Excelsior 3-2 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior edged past Brisbane Roar II 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?

Moreton City Excelsior 3-2 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreton City Excelsior vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Moreton City Excelsior 51%, draw 21%, Brisbane Roar II 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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