Adelaide United II 1-5 Modbury Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.98
Over 2.5
49%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.32
No
54%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
30%
+20.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
70%
-20.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
72%
-25.7pp
54%
BTTS No
28%
+25.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Modbury Jets EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.70/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/2.84
+0% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Modbury Jets
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2023 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 2-7 HT 0-3 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVSA
17.06.2023 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 4-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVSA
02.04.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-2 HT 0-0 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets AVNPL
24.10.2020 Modbury Jets Modbury Jets 0-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs Modbury Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modbury Jets swept aside Adelaide United II 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and on the day Modbury Jets made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.00 for Modbury Jets.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs Modbury Jets?

Adelaide United II 1-5 Modbury Jets in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs Modbury Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 40%, draw 26%, Modbury Jets 33%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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