Brisbane City 3-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
67%
-14.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 17%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.01/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.17
+9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 20.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.00 xG 0.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
369 Passes 263
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
13.05.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 5-1 HT 1-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
24.07.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
24.04.2022 Brisbane City Brisbane City 4-4 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
11.10.2020 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-1 HT 1-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
16.09.2020 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City nicked a narrow win over Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brisbane City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Brisbane City and 1.83 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Brisbane City 3-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 53%, draw 22%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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