NE MetroStars 4-3 Adelaide Raiders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
70%
-0.7pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.0pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 17%
-24% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.96/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.69
-24% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NE MetroStars
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Adelaide Raiders
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2021 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 0-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
03.07.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-3 HT 0-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
18.09.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-1 HT 0-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
19.07.2014 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
19.04.2014 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-3 HT 1-2 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
POST-MATCH NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Raiders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars squeezed past Adelaide Raiders 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NE MetroStars as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, NE MetroStars had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for NE MetroStars and 0.80 for Adelaide Raiders.

What was the final score of NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Raiders?

NE MetroStars 4-3 Adelaide Raiders in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NE MetroStars vs Adelaide Raiders?

Before kick-off our model rated a NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split NE MetroStars 69%, draw 17%, Adelaide Raiders 15%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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