Zira 1-2 Karabağ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 2 Jun 2024

Zira
1-2 HT 0-1
Karabağ
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Cup – 2023/2024

Zira vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zira v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Karabağ EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +141%
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 466 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Zira vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Karabağ
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
25% Ball Possession 75%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-1 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
24.12.2023 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
05.08.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
21.04.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 2-2 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
19.02.2023 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
28.11.2022 Karabağ Karabağ 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Karabağ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ squeezed past Zira 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zira and 1.17 for Karabağ.

What was the final score of Zira vs Karabağ?

Zira 1-2 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Karabağ?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Zira 20%, draw 23%, Karabağ 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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