Chapecoense vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BR2
Chapecoense 1-1 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense and Vila Nova shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Chapecoense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
On the day, Chapecoense had 54% of the ball to Vila Nova's 46%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 0.94 to 1.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Chapecoense and 0.75 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Vila Nova?
Chapecoense 1-1 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 44%, draw 29%, Vila Nova 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chapecoense), BTTS No went the other way.