Ponte Preta 4-2 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 2 Jun 2024

Ponte Preta
4-2 HT 0-0
CRB
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Ponte Preta vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.9
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ponte Preta v CRB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -16%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.14
-9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
21.3 Crosses 15.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Ponte Preta vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponte Preta
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CRB
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.65 xG 0.85
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
254 Passes 362
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 3-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
22.07.2023 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
05.08.2022 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 1-1 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2
23.04.2022 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
08.11.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
02.08.2021 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 1-1 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BR2

Ponte Preta 4-2 CRB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponte Preta
4-2
AWAY CRB
2.81 xG 2.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
209 Passes 395
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ponte Preta vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponte Preta beat CRB 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ponte Preta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ponte Preta had 39% of the ball to CRB's 61%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.81 to 2.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponte Preta had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ponte Preta and 0.50 for CRB.

What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs CRB?

Ponte Preta 4-2 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponte Preta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 38%, draw 29%, CRB 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponte Preta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponte Preta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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