Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 2 Jun 2024

Atletico Ottawa
2-2 HT 0-1
HFX Wanderers
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
7%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Ottawa v HFX Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 28%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
0.98/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.41
+6% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.8 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 1.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
339 Passes 455
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
19.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
23.07.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
04.06.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
15.04.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-1 HT 1-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
01.10.2022 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL

Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HFX Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2-2
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.15 xG 2.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
446 Passes 360
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa and HFX Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Ottawa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 55% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 45%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.15 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.17 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?

Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 44%, draw 29%, HFX Wanderers 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAPL More Kanada - Premier League
2 Jun 2024
02:00 Pacific FC vs Cavalry Analysis →