Emelec 0-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 2 Jun 2024

Emelec
0-0 HT 0-0
Libertad
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Emelec vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.3pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emelec v Libertad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.65/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.55
-9% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 67%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
21.0 Crosses 11.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1

Emelec vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Libertad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.66 xG 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
510 Passes 313
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
27.02.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-0 HT 2-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1

Emelec 0-0 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
0-0
AWAY Libertad
1.59 xG 0.72
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
391 Passes 212
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec and Libertad played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Emelec carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Emelec had 60% of the ball to Libertad's 40%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Emelec had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Emelec and 0.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Libertad?

Emelec 0-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Emelec 55%, draw 24%, Libertad 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Emelec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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