Uni. Catolica 3-0 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 2 Jun 2024

Uni. Catolica
3-0 HT 1-0
Macara
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Uni. Catolica vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Macara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.88/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.61
-5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.0 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Uni. Catolica vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Macara
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.73 xG 1.29
63% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
411 Passes 191
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.08.2022 Macara Macara 1-3 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.03.2022 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 0-2 Macara Macara EKV1
30.08.2021 Macara Macara 1-2 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.04.2021 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
16.10.2020 Uni. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
20.08.2019 Uni. Catolica 1-3 HT 1-2 Macara Macara EKV1

Uni. Catolica 3-0 Macara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
3-0
AWAY Macara
1.88 xG 0.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
348 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica ran out comfortable winners over Macara 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 54% of the ball to Macara's 46%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.88 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.50 for Macara.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Macara?

Uni. Catolica 3-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 49%, draw 25%, Macara 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5
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