Trans Narva 4-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.18
Over 2.5
41%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-11.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
42%
+16.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
58%
-16.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
0.81/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.73
-32% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
21.10.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.08.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
20.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
01.04.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
23.10.2022 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
4-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva ran out comfortable winners over Nomme JK Kalju 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme JK Kalju at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trans Narva had 52% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 48%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Trans Narva and 2.00 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Trans Narva 4-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 25%, draw 27%, Nomme JK Kalju 47%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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