Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
2.00/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.26
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.08.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
20.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
01.04.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
23.10.2022 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
23.07.2022 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-1 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3-0
AWAY Trans Narva
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju cruised past Trans Narva 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 48% of the ball to Trans Narva's 52%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.67 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva?

Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 54%, draw 26%, Trans Narva 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5
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