FC Kuressaare 0-6 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
12.23
Draw
27%
7.13
Away
52%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.95
No
46%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
5%
+15.5pp
27%
Draw
10%
+17.0pp
52%
Away Win
85%
-32.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
30%
+23.9pp
46%
BTTS No
70%
-23.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 91%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
0.94/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.69
+45% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
231 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
20.08.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
06.06.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
02.04.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-1 HT 3-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.09.2022 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-3 HT 0-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
21.08.2022 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-3 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
0-6
AWAY FC Levadia
24% Ball Possession 76%
0 Total Shots 27
0 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 10
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia ran out comfortable winners over FC Kuressaare 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 24% of the ball to FC Levadia's 76%, shots finished 0-27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.67 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia?

FC Kuressaare 0-6 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 20%, draw 27%, FC Levadia 52%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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