JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 Mar 2024

JK Tammeka Tartu
1-0 HT 1-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Estonia - Premium League – 2024

JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JK Tammeka Tartu v Parnu JK Vaprus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.11/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.04
-23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
26.08.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
27.06.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-3 HT 1-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
08.04.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
22.10.2022 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
02.07.2022 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1

JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1-0
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu nicked a narrow win over Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had JK Tammeka Tartu as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 49% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 51%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 1.17 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 41%, draw 30%, Parnu JK Vaprus 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
9 Mar 2024
15:30 FC Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Analysis →
15:30 Nomme JK Kalju vs Trans Narva Analysis →