EIF 1-2 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 2 Jun 2024

EIF
1-2 HT 0-0
VPS
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

EIF vs VPS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.77
1/2
6%
22.7
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
7%
8.66
X/2
19%
3.83
X/X
9%
5.45
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.25
2/X
9%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EIF v VPS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 58%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.71/0.14
+1% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.1 Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards –

EIF vs VPS Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
0W-1D-3L
AWAY VPS
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.09.2021 EIF EIF 2-3 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN2
30.06.2021 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 2-0 EIF EIF FİN2
05.09.2020 VPS VPS 1-0 HT 1-0 EIF EIF FİN2
04.07.2020 EIF EIF 0-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN2

EIF 1-2 VPS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
1-2
AWAY VPS
1.09 xG 3.15
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
211 Passes 369
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH EIF vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS edged past EIF 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had VPS as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, EIF had 40% of the ball to VPS's 60%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.09 to 3.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold VPS's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for EIF and 1.50 for VPS.

What was the final score of EIF vs VPS?

EIF 1-2 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split EIF 23%, draw 26%, VPS 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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