Metz 2-2 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 2 Jun 2024

Metz
2 - 2 HT 2 - 1
Saint-Etienne
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Metz vs Saint-Etienne Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.45
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.89
Over
49%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.43
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
22%
3.46
6+
5%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.59
1/2
2%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.52
X/2
13%
5.8
X/X
19%
4.54
2/1
2%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.85
2/X
6%
12.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Metz v Saint-Etienne — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Metz The Market 41%
Signal
AWAY Saint-Etienne The Market 38%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.25 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
1.20 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2

Metz vs Saint-Etienne Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.23
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
278 Passes 391
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.05.2024 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-1 HT 1-1 Metz Metz FR1
22.04.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-3 HT 1-3 Metz Metz FR2
07.11.2022 Metz Metz 3-2 HT 2-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
06.03.2022 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
30.10.2021 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
07.02.2021 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-0 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR1

Metz 2-2 Saint-Etienne — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
2 - 2
AWAY Saint-Etienne
2.48 xG 3.28
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 33
5 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 13
196 Passes 526
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 60
27 Crosses 49
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Metz vs Saint-Etienne
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 2-2 draw left Metz and Saint-Etienne with a point apiece. From 2-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

The preview numbers (35% / 30% / 34%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Metz had 33% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 67%, shots finished 12-33, expected goals 2.48 to 3.28.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Metz and 1.33 for Saint-Etienne.

Metz vs Saint-Etienne Result & Final Score

Metz 2 - 2 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 1 on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Metz vs Saint-Etienne Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Metz 35%, draw 30%, Saint-Etienne 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Metz), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →