Changwon City 0-1 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.10/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.95
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
08.07.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
09.07.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
10.06.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 0-2 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
26.03.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
27.02.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
01.10.2021 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP edged past Changwon City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Changwon City and 1.33 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Changwon City 0-1 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 31%, draw 27%, Gyeongju HNP 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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