Paju Citizen 0-1 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
0.86/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.44
-25% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mokpo City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
11.11.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
18.06.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
17.07.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
02.04.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
28.08.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
25.04.2021 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mokpo City edged past Paju Citizen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Mokpo City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Paju Citizen and 0.50 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Mokpo City?

Paju Citizen 0-1 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 38%, draw 33%, Mokpo City 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paju Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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