FC Seoul 1-2 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.37
6+ Goals
11%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.46
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
10%
5.03
X/2
12%
6.06
X/X
12%
3.91
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
14%
4.52
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +1%
1.25/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.25
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.5 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.42
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
446 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
17.09.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
09.05.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 3-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
05.03.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
03.11.2021 Gwangju Gwangju 3-4 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
08.08.2021 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
1-2
AWAY Gwangju
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
447 Passes 391
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju edged past FC Seoul 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Gwangju made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 55% of the ball to Gwangju's 45%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Seoul and 1.17 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Gwangju?

FC Seoul 1-2 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 38%, draw 28%, Gwangju 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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