Busan I Park 1-1 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.59
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.29/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.49
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 1.38
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
284 Passes 423
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
18.10.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
29.08.2020 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOK
30.05.2020 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
09.09.2015 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-2 HT 1-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
12.07.2015 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
1-1
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park and Suwon Bluewings shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon Bluewings at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Busan I Park had 52% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 48%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Busan I Park and 1.00 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?

Busan I Park 1-1 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 33%, draw 26%, Suwon Bluewings 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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