Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 Gainare Tottori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.40/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.52
+7% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Gainare Tottori
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-3 HT 0-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
17.06.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-1 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
23.10.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-3 HT 2-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
09.07.2022 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-2 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-0
AWAY Gainare Tottori
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu squeezed past Gainare Tottori 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Giravanz Kitakyushu as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 43% of the ball to Gainare Tottori's 57%, shots finished 19-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.75 for Gainare Tottori.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 Gainare Tottori in the Japan - J3 League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 41%, draw 25%, Gainare Tottori 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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