Sagamihara 2-1 Grulla Morioka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +4%
0.55/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.88
-62% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Grulla Morioka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 0
26.11.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
08.04.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
18.11.2020 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
25.07.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
2-1
AWAY Grulla Morioka
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Grulla Morioka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara nicked a narrow win over Grulla Morioka 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sagamihara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 65% of the ball to Grulla Morioka's 35%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sagamihara and 0.75 for Grulla Morioka.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Grulla Morioka?

Sagamihara 2-1 Grulla Morioka in the Japan - J3 League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Grulla Morioka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 43%, draw 27%, Grulla Morioka 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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