Cerro Porteno 0-2 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.47
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
64%
-18.0pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.0pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.99/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.97
+8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
04.11.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
21.08.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
18.05.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
14.03.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 3-3 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
26.09.2021 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
0-2
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno saw off Cerro Porteno 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 63% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 37%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.17 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Cerro Porteno 0-2 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 46%, draw 30%, Sportivo Luqueno 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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