Arka Gdynia 1-2 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.78/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.10
+12% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arka Gdynia
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Motor Lublin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 2-2 HT 2-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
29.09.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-0 HT 1-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arka Gdynia
1-2
AWAY Motor Lublin
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin nicked a narrow win over Arka Gdynia 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arka Gdynia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arka Gdynia had 45% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 55%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arka Gdynia and 1.00 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin?

Arka Gdynia 1-2 Motor Lublin in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 42%, draw 25%, Motor Lublin 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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