Centro Atletico Fenix 0-1 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
0.61/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.78
-24% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
213 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CA Penarol
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
29.04.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
02.08.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-1 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
11.07.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
05.02.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
18.09.2021 CA Penarol CA Penarol 0-0 HT 0-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
0-1
AWAY CA Penarol
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol nicked a narrow win over Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 50% of the ball to CA Penarol's 50%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 0.50 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs CA Penarol?

Centro Atletico Fenix 0-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 22%, draw 29%, CA Penarol 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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