Defensor Sporting 3-0 Miramar Misiones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.93/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.76
+18% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Miramar Misiones
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 1
02.03.2014 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 1-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
3-0
AWAY Miramar Misiones
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Miramar Misiones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting ran out comfortable winners over Miramar Misiones 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 59% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 41%, shots finished 18-14.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Miramar Misiones?

Defensor Sporting 3-0 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Miramar Misiones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 46%, draw 23%, Miramar Misiones 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ BTTS Yes
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