Seattle Sounders 2-3 Minnesota United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2025

Seattle Sounders
2-3 HT 0-0
Minnesota United
📅02/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.61
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
17%
4.49
X/2
12%
8.0
X/X
11%
4.61
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.35
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Seattle Sounders v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +25%
1.52/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.62
-13% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
21.3 Crosses 13.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Minnesota United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.88 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
440 Passes 341
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-3 HT 1-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
27.07.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United CONLK
16.06.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 1-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
27.08.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
23.04.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
15.05.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-1 HT 0-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD

Seattle Sounders 2-3 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
2-3
AWAY Minnesota United
0.85 xG 2.53
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 0
496 Passes 248
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 22
39 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United edged past Seattle Sounders 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Seattle Sounders at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 65% of the ball to Minnesota United's 35%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.85 to 2.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Minnesota United's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Seattle Sounders and 0.67 for Minnesota United.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United?

Seattle Sounders 2-3 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 45%, draw 26%, Minnesota United 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →